2020 NY Mets Preview

by | Jun 1, 2020 | MLB, New York Mets | 0 comments

Earlier today, I took a look at the 2020 season preview for the New York Yankees. If you go across the WhiteStone or Throgs Neck Bridge, in the bureau called Queens, you will find New York’s “other” team.

2019: 86-76, 3rd place in NL East (11 GB)

Five questions for the 2020 New York Mets

Will the real Edwin Diaz please stand up…and carry the bullpen with him?

If one were to predict the worst possible scenario for Edwin Diaz in 2019, I don’t know if Stephen King could write a more fiendish outcome. Despite his awful 2019 season, Diaz still possesses nasty stuff, and the Mets are counting an immense rebound season. With COVID providing a lengthy delay and shorter season, a poor performance from Diaz will be equally devastating in 2020.

Edwin Diaz – MLB Career in Save Situations     
 ERAK per 9WHIPHRSave Pct.
*2016-182.1414.90.8211.900 (109/121)
*20196.5913.51.748.788 (26/33)

The Mets bullpen singlehandedly cost them the postseason in 2019. They lost 37 games in which they either led or tied after seven innings. Their save percentage of 58 was the eighth-worst in MLB, while their 4.95 ERA was the sixth-worst.

The Mets are counting on bounce-back seasons for Diaz, Jeurys Familia (5.70 ERA, 1.73 WHIP), and free-agent signee Dellin Betances (pitched in 2/3 inning in 2019). All three are healthy, including Betances who benefited from the extra time due to COVID.

End of mishaps with marquis players

Following consecutive postseason appearances in 2015-16, the Mets fortunes concerning their elite players have been less than fortunate.

-David Wright’s retirement

-Yoenis Cespedes playing in just 119 games since signing his 4-year, $110M contract.

– Former ace Matt Harvey wins five of his final 22 starts before being traded

Fans of the Mets usually expect “the other shoe” to drop at some point during the season. Will this be the year they will avoid any unfortunate disaster to a team leader.

David Wright – Season Averages      
 GmsBAHRRBIRunsOPS
2005-131450.3072393900.89
2014-16700.266731320.735

Can they replace Noah Syndergaard in the rotation?

When Thor made his debut in 2015, he loomed large over opponents, and Mets brass expected a dominant starter to preside besides Jacob deGrom, Stephen Matz, and Zack Wheeler (now with Phillies).

While the X-Men’s career number of 47–30, 3.31 ERA and 1.16 WHIP are certainly nothing to sneeze at, they lack the punch of someone with his stuff.

A major complaint is the big right-hander’s inability to go deep into ball games, as only 20 of his 118 starts have seen him take the mound in the eighth inning. However, Syndergaard’s career OPS (.616) & WHIP (1.07) are lower from innings 7–9 than the first six.

While many were anticipating a strong season from Thor, on March 24, the Mets announced he would miss the 2020 season to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow. Despite underachieving the last few seasons, Thor’s replacement needs to succeed.

Will Pete Alonso suffer a sophomore slump?

The Tampa, Florida native set an MLB rookie record with 53 HR in 2019. Alonso joined Jacob deGrom Darryl Strawberry, Doc Gooden, and Jon Matlack to win Rookie of the Year.

Along with setting team records for HR, total bases, and XBH, Alonso joined Ted Williams and Albert Pujols as the only rookies in MLB history to reach 100 runs, RBI, and 30 HR in a single-season.

Rookies with 30 HR, 100 Runs & 100 RBI     
Single-Seaon, MLB History     
 SeasonAgeHRRunsRBI
Pete Alonso20192453103120
Albert Pujols20012137112130
Ted Williams19392031131145

Will Jacob deGrom continue his dominance?

In 2019 deGrom became 4th NL pitcher to repeat despite posting just 21 combined wins over the last two seasons. Can he become the first pitcher since Randy Johnson from 1999-2002 to win three straight? (or he could become the first-ever to win fewer than ten games!)

Synopsis: 2nd place (33-27) – Will reach the postseason as Wild-Card.

While the Nationals are the defending champs, the Mets defeated then 12 times in 2019, which included blowing a six-run, ninth-inning lead.

The Mets’ chief nemesis is the Braves, who should still have enough talent and pitching to rule the NL East. The Mets are just 14-24 against Atlanta over the last two seasons.

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